A>B>C with observed B

December 22, 2017 ~ squarishbracket

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The Hypergame Paradox
ZFC as One of Humankind’s Great Inventions
Hilbert-type Infinitary Logics
Forcing and the Independence of CH (Part 2)
Forcing and the Independence of CH (Part 1)
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Shorter Proof of Countable Saturation (Ultra 7.5)
All About Countable Saturation (Ultra Series 7)
Ultraproducts and Compactness (Ultra Series 6)
Infinitely Large Primes (Ultra Series 5)
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Hypernaturals in all their glory (Ultra Series 3)
Hypernaturals Simplified (Ultra Series 2)
Ultrafilters, Ultraproducts, and Hypernaturals 1: Introduction
Even Numbers are Tautologies
Notes on motivation and self-improvement
First Order Truth Trees
One nonstandard is worth infinitely many standards
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Computing truth values of sentences of arithmetic, or: Math is hard
How uncomputable are the Busy Beaver numbers?
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No known unknowns in Peano arithmetic
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The Rise of Anti-Set Theory
The Transfinite Factorial
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Updated Introduction to Mathematical Logic
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The Continuum Hypothesis is False
Kolmogorov Complexity, Undecidability, and Incompleteness
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Sum and Product Puzzle
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Fractal Trees
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Paradoxical Precommitment
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Building an analog calculator
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For Loops and Bounded Quantifiers in Lambda Calculus
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The Weirdest Consequence of the Axiom of Choice
Introduction to Mathematical Logic (Part 3: Reconciling Gödel’s Completeness And Incompleteness Theorems)
Introduction to Mathematical Logic (Part 2: The Natural Numbers)
Introduction to Mathematical Logic (Part 1)
Thinking in first order: Are the natural numbers countable?
The Central Paradox of Statistical Mechanics: The Problem of The Past
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Philosophers of religion are religious. Why?
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A Talmudic Probability Puzzle
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x^5 – x – 1
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Strong Induction Proofs of Cauchy’s Theorem and Sylow’s First Theorem
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Group Theory Toolkit
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The Most Irrational of Numbers
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Collatz Tree
Record-breaking Collatz chains!
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Buddhabrot, Mandelbrot’s older sibling
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Mandelbrot Exploration
How will quantum computing impact the world?
Hopping Midpoints and Mathematical Snowflakes
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Measurement without interaction in quantum mechanics
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Decision Theory
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A common knowledge puzzle
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Swapping the past and future
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Fractals and Epicycles
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How to Learn From Data, Part I: Evaluating Simple Hypotheses
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Anti-inductive priors
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Sleeping Beauty Problem
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Not a solution to the anthropic dice killer puzzle
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Ramanujan’s infinite radicals
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Grover’s algorithm
Deutch-Josza Algorithm
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Explanation is asymmetric
Wave function entropy
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If all truths are knowable, then all truths are known
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Objective Bayesianism and choices of concepts
A shameful history
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Gibbs’ inequality
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Bayes and beyond
Racism and identity
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Value beyond ethics
Taxonomy of infinity catastrophes for expected utility theory
Two-factor markets for sex
A simple explanation of Bell’s inequality
Cults, tribes, states, and markets
Bayesian experimental design
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The Rival-Expert Heuristic
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Pascal’s mugging
Those who have forgotten words
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Journey into abstraction
Timeless decision theory and homogeneity
Timeless ethics and Kant
A failure of Bayesian reasoning
Bayesianism as natural selection of ideas
Against falsifiability
Metaphysics and fuzziness: Why tables don’t exist and nobody’s tall
Is [insert here] a religion?
Hyperreal decision theory
Infinite ethics
More on random sampling from Nature’s Urn
Free will and decision theory (Part 2)
Paradoxes of infinite decision theory
Does fine-tuning give evidence for God?
Noisy Evidence
Nature’s Urn and Ignoring the Super Persuader
Entropy vs relative entropy
Fun with Akaike
Anthropic argument for common priors
Why you should be a Bayesian
Consistency and priors
Dutch book arguments
Cox’s theorem
Maximum Entropy and Bayes
Advanced two-envelopes paradox
Sam Harris and the is-ought distinction
Two envelopes paradox
Principle of Maximum Entropy
Consciousness
Inequality and free markets
40 papers on inequality in one sentence each
Gregory Watson (and how to change the world)
Statistical mechanics is wonderful
Solution: How change arises in QM
TIMN view of social evolution
Race, Ethnicity, and Labels
Is quantum mechanics simpler than classical physics?
Iterated Simpson’s Paradox
Causal decision theory
Free will and decision theory
Simpson’s paradox
Screening off and explaining away
Societal Failure Modes
Dialogue: Why you should one-box in Newcomb’s problem
Opt-out organ donation
The spiritual and the scientific
Comprehensibility of the Complex
Correlation and causation
Causal Intervention
Causal Arrows
Causality: Preliminaries
Low-hanging policy fruit

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